MODELLING OF GROUP EXPERT JUDGMENTS UNDER CONDITIONS OF COMPLEX UNCERTAINTY

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Название журнала: Восточно Европейский Научный Журнал, Выпуск: , Том: , Страницы в выпуске: -
Автор: Antipova K.O. PhD candidate, lecturer of the Department of Software for Automation System, Admiral Makarov National University of Shipbuilding. Davydenko Y.O. Cand. Sc, associate professor of the Department of Software Engineering, Petro Mohyla Black Sea National University. Kovalenko I.I. Dr. Sc., professor, professor of the Department of Software Engineering, Petro Mohyla Black Sea National University. Shved A.V. Cand. Sc, associate professor of the Department of Software Engineering, Petro Mohyla Black Sea National University.
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Анотация: Abstract: For decision making under uncertainty multicriteria decision methods are used to rank the alterna- tives based on the preferences expressed by experts. Decisions are often made on the basis of imprecise, uncertain and/or incomplete information provided by several sources, some of which may be unreliable. The paper offers implementation examples of the theory of plausible and paradoxical reasoning and the PCR5 rule for decisions making under conditions of complex uncertainties that are generated by arbitrary (contradictory) expert evidence. The mathematical models under consideration prevent errors and provide the greatest accuracy in processing the results of an expertise under conditions of multicriteria, multi-alternatives and complex uncertainties. The appli- cation of the classic combination rule and the PCR5 rule is used to deal with conflicting expert judgments of the Dezert-Smarandache model and the Dempster-Shafer model respectively.
Ключевые слова: Key words: DSmT, DST, frame of discernment, fusion, PCR5, uncertainty.  
Данные для цитирования: Antipova K.O. PhD candidate, lecturer of the Department of Software for Automation System, Admiral Makarov National University of Shipbuilding. Davydenko Y.O. Cand. Sc, associate professor of the Department of Software Engineering, Petro Mohyla Black Sea National University. Kovalenko I.I. Dr. Sc., professor, professor of the Department of Software Engineering, Petro Mohyla Black Sea National University. Shved A.V. Cand. Sc, associate professor of the Department of Software Engineering, Petro Mohyla Black Sea National University., . MODELLING OF GROUP EXPERT JUDGMENTS UNDER CONDITIONS OF COMPLEX UNCERTAINTY. Восточно Европейский Научный Журнал. Технические науки. ; ():-.



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